NFL-wide playoff odds, week 3


Both Football Outsiders and 538 produce playoff odds every week. They results are broadly similar, but sometimes it’s interesting to compare them. Here they both are in one plot (click to enlarge):

The farther a team is from the diagonal line, the more the two models disagree. The models still disagree over Houston and Carolina, with Football Outsiders being significantly more pessimistic. With the injury to JJ Watt (which ELO doens’t know about), I suspect Football Outsiders is more in line with reality.

For fun, here’s the last 3 weeks in gif form. Obviously, it needs work, but why not?