NFL-wide playoff odds, week 2


Both Football Outsiders and 538 produce playoff odds every week. They results are broadly similar, but sometimes it’s interesting to compare them. Here they both are in one plot (click to enlarge):

The farther a team is from the diagonal line, the more the two models disagree. The models still disagree over Denver and have a pretty significant disagreement about Tennessee, as well: Football Outsiders has them at about 36% likely to make the playoffs vs. about 11% likely in the 538 model. This stuff will sort itself out over time, I suppose.